According to Turkish Government, if the current trends of demographic indicators continue, the population of Turkey, which was 80,810,525 people according to the results of 2017 ABPRS, is expected to reach 86,907,367 people in 2023 and 100,331,233 people in 2040. The population will increase until the year 2069, and will reach its highest value with 107,664,79 people in this year. The population of the country is forecasted to decline after this year and it is expected to be 107,100,904 people in 2080.
While the population of 68 provinces will increase, the population of 13 provinces will decrease in 2023 compared to 2017 ABPRS results. The order of the most populous five provinces will not change. The most populated province will be İstanbul with 16.3 million in 2023. This province will be followed by Ankara with 6.1 million, İzmir with 4.6 million, Bursa with 3.2 million and Antalya with 2.7 million in 2023, respectively.
In Turkey, life expectancy at birth is increasing and the population continues ageing. Median age of population, which is an important indicator of age structure, is expected to be 32 in 2018, 33.5 in 2023, 38.5 in 2040, 42.3 in 2060 and 45 in 2080.
The proportion of elderly population, which is defined as the population at 65 years of age and over, is expected to be 8.7 per cent in 2018, 10.2 per cent in 2023, 16.3 per cent in 2040, 22.6 per cent in 2060 and 25.6 per cent in 2080.
The proportion of population in 15-64 working age group is expected to be 67.8 per cent in 2018, 67.2 per cent in 2023, 64.4 per cent in 2040, 60.4 per cent in 2060 and 58.7 per cent in 2080.
The proportion of child population, which is the population in the 0-14 age group, is expected to be 23.5 per cent in 2018, 22.6 per cent in 2023, 19.3 per cent in 2040, 16.9 per cent in 2060 and 15.7 per cent in 2080.